|
BigLawBoard.com Law school, firm, and clerkship board |
just realized why Repubs winning congress will be interesting
| securityeven | ||
| Robin Finck | ||
| securityeven | ||
| XO Historian | ||
| Atticus | ||
| XO Historian | ||
| Atticus | ||
| Robin Finck | ||
| XO Historian | ||
| Fantaschtick | ||
| Atticus | ||
| MindTheGap76 | ||
| Fantaschtick | ||
| Fantaschtick | ||
| Gibbs7 | ||
| sofaking | ||
| Supe | ||
| Gibbs7 | ||
| Gibbs7 | ||
| Supe | ||
| Gibbs7 | ||
| Gibbs7 |
|
Post New Message In This Thread Back to Board |
||
|
Posted: 07/14/10 11:23 AM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationWe'll finally be able to see if Obama can fight. Up to now he's been pretty much a pussy bitch, but that may only be because he had the luxury of legislative control. Let's see how he does with his back against the wall.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 12:03 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationHe'll just accuse people of racism. It's already being done by proxy through the statements and actions of Michelle Obama and Eric Holder. I don't think Barack Obama has faced a legitimate challenge in his life.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 01:40 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationThat in itself would be interesting to watch.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 02:59 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI would die to see Olbermann and Maddow accuse essentially all of America of being racist. The grandstanding would be hilarious. I'm skeptical, but hopeful, that it could happen in both Houses.
http://www.tnr.com/blog/william-galston/76247/attention-democrats-the-senate-now-in-play
To retain control, Democrats need at least 50 seats. They start with 45 seats that are safe or not up for election this year, and there are three more races (NY, CT, and OR) that they are likely to win, for a total of 48. (The comparable number for Republicans is 41.) That leaves 11 seats in play. Here they are, along with the most recent survey results:
CA Fiorina (R) 47, Boxer (D) 45 CO Buck (R) 48, Bennet (D) 39 FL Rubio (R) 36, Crist (I) 34, Meek (D) 15 IL Giannoulias (D) 40, Kirk (R) 39 KY Paul (R) 43, Conway (D) 43 MO Blunt (R) 48, Carnahan (D) 43 NV Angle (R) 48, Reid (D) 41 OH Portman (R) 43, Fisher (D) 39 PA Toomey (R) 45, Sestak (D) 39 WA Murray (D) 47, Rossi (R) 47 WI Feingold (D) 45, Johnson (R) 43 |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 03:38 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationLOL at you ignoring the most recent Crist/Rubio poll and citing your precious Rasmussen numbers again. Hilarious! Your bias is a source of endless amusement.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_florida_senate_race.html |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 03:55 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI cut and pasted that article from The New Republic. TNR is pretty far left (though not unreasonably so).
Why would that make me biased? I have no idea where he got those numbers? I'd assume, since it's a liberal publication, that they're not GOP numbers. You're overthinking this. |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 04:15 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationIt doesn't take much thought to notice that you're cherry-picking Rasmussen poll numbers to favor your boy Rubio (again), and wrongly claiming to use "the most recent survey results." The actual most recent results show Crist leading (again). In fact, just like last time, every recent poll except the one you cited shows Crist leading. This is three times in a row that you've cited Rasmussen for misleading numbers, even though you've insisted that you always rely on the most recent RCP polls.
http://www.biglawboard.com/blb/viewThread.jsp?threadId=92531#106997
Plagiarism would explain a single example. Bias explains the series. |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 03:49 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI thought Olbermann already did this? I didn't hate him until he left ESPN, not that I really watched it in the first place.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 03:57 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationTBF, I don't know exactly what he does anymore. Before one of my friends left for an in-house job, we used to grab sandwiches in our firm's cafeteria and flip between Dobbs, Olbermann, and the Fox shows. The hysteria on both sides was comic relief before heading back to omgdocreview!
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 05:32 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationThe Rs won't win the Senate. As Atticus noted, those poll numbers are questionable.
I'm convinced, though, that the Rs have a really good chance of retaking the House. |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 06:23 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationThis seems right.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 06:48 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationOne of the best places I've found for this kind of analysis is 538, if you aren't already reading it. It is a liberal blog, but the guy does solid econometric analysis of polls, including a monthly update on how the Senate looks. Here's his latest:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/06/senate-forecast-after-primaries-picture.html
As of two weeks ago, he said a 50% chance that Dems are reduced to 55 seats. But currently extremely unlikely they will lose majority. |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 07:08 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI think he's right. Dems will come out of the election with 55 seats, which means they keep the majority but it will be two years of gridlock. Virtually nothing will get through since they will need more than Snowe, Collins, and Brown, and there aren't really any other Rs willing to break ranks.
It's odd that he has Boxer at 80%, but his data may just be a little old. She will win, but it's going to closer than people would have expected. |
|
Posted: 07/14/10 07:13 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS Violationand thanks for that link. It looks like a decent blog.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 09:13 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationEither way, I'm sure major changes will result.
|
|
Posted: 07/14/10 10:22 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationMajor change. Change we can believe in. Inter alia.
|
|
Posted: 07/15/10 04:44 AM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS Violationhai dustin.
|
|
Posted: 07/17/10 01:19 AM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS Violationoh, i c
|
|
Posted: 07/17/10 01:20 AM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationYep, we've heard it all before:
|
|
Posted: 07/17/10 04:13 AM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationMajor changes just don't happen overnight. Two years later and you might not yet see the change taking hold. You really need 8 years for change.
|
|
Posted: 07/18/10 08:02 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI can barely contain my excitement.
|
|
Posted: 07/19/10 04:13 PM Flag: Best-Of Helpful NSFW Spam TOS ViolationI'm all for it at this point. When unemployment checks run dry and people really start to feel the pain, then the show begins.
|
Post New Message In This Thread
Back to Board